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IMF trims 2025 global GDP forecast to 2.7% amid trade frictions
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IMF cut 2025 global GDP outlook to 2.
The IMF’s October 2025 World Economic Outlook projects global growth slowing to 2.7%, down 30 bps from its April estimate. The downgrade reflects sustained tariff tensions, tight credit conditions, and slowing productivity in advanced economies. However, India and Southeast Asia are expected to outperform peers, offsetting weakness in Europe.