India retail inflation cools to eight-year low at 0.5% on GST, food trends

India’s CPI fell to an eight-year low of 0.5% in October, driven by negative food inflation and GST efficiencies, reinforcing the case for RBI rate cuts in early FY26.

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India retail inflation cools to eight-year low at 0.5% on GST, food trends

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India’s CPI fell to an eight-year low of 0.
India’s retail inflation dropped to an eight-year low below 0.5% in October as food prices turned negative for the fourth consecutive month. Analysts at Union Bank credited the decline to GST-driven efficiencies, high-base effects, and improved rural supply chains. The report trimmed FY26 CPI projections to 2.6%, citing favorable monsoon patterns and stable crude. Economists suggest the data strengthens the RBI’s easing case early next year. Market participants now expect incremental liquidity measures to sustain credit momentum.
Oct 19, 2025 • 15:45
Sentinel