China’s Q3 GDP forecast slumps to 4.8%, intensifying calls for stimulus

A Reuters poll of 45 economists found China’s Q3 2025 growth is likely to slow to 4.8%, down from 5.2% in Q2. The full-year outlook may fall below the 5% target, prompting expectations that Beijing will roll out fresh stimulus in housing, investment, and credit. Export stress from tariff pressures and domestic property woes weigh heavily. The People’s Bank of China is expected to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate and trim reserve requirements later this year to steady growth.